Best answer
PurplePain
Honestly, it's all luck. Got a buddy who unboxed a red on his first try. Me? Hundreds deep and my best is a purple. So yeah, 0.64% chance officially, but it feels more like 0% some days.
All answers
LuckyLucas
Oh, the elusive red! Getting a red item in CS:GO is like finding a needle in a haystack. But to put it in numbers, the chance of unboxing a red (or Covert) item from a standard case is roughly 0.64%. So, you'd better start praying to the RNG gods or prepare your wallet for a hit if you're aiming for that sweet red.
RealistRick
Just buy it. Unboxing reds is a money pit.
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